Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 0.001065 0.001210 0.001356 0.001513 0.001676 0.001840 0.002018
2025-11-16 0.000832 0.001041 0.001256 0.001495 0.001749 0.002010 0.002297
2025-11-23 0.000655 0.000908 0.001179 0.001486 0.001819 0.002167 0.002555
2025-11-30 0.000551 0.000843 0.001165 0.001538 0.001949 0.002383 0.002872
2025-12-07 0.000428 0.000742 0.001102 0.001528 0.002006 0.002516 0.003095
2025-12-14 0.000310 0.000634 0.001022 0.001492 0.002027 0.002606 0.003268
2025-12-21 0.000246 0.000584 0.001003 0.001521 0.002118 0.002769 0.003518
2025-12-28 0.000166 0.000499 0.000936 0.001490 0.002138 0.002849 0.003673
2026-01-04 0.000114 0.000446 0.000903 0.001494 0.002194 0.002968 0.003870
2026-01-11 0.000067 0.000386 0.000857 0.001479 0.002225 0.003057 0.004029
2026-01-18 0.000033 0.000335 0.000816 0.001468 0.002259 0.003146 0.004188
2026-01-25 0.000003 0.000259 0.000735 0.001403 0.002225 0.003156 0.004257
2026-02-01 NaN 0.000200 0.000683 0.001386 0.002268 0.003275 0.004473
2026-02-08 NaN 0.000151 0.000639 0.001381 0.002324 0.003411 0.004710
2026-02-15 NaN 0.000110 0.000601 0.001379 0.002385 0.003553 0.004954
2026-02-22 NaN 0.000095 0.000605 0.001435 0.002515 0.003775 0.005290
2026-03-01 NaN 0.000062 0.000566 0.001428 0.002567 0.003905 0.005520
2026-03-08 NaN 0.000029 0.000511 0.001395 0.002584 0.003991 0.005699
2026-03-15 NaN 0.000017 0.000501 0.001424 0.002678 0.004168 0.005981
2026-03-22 NaN 0.000002 0.000453 0.001395 0.002696 0.004253 0.006155
2026-03-29 NaN NaN 0.000429 0.001400 0.002755 0.004386 0.006385
2026-04-05 NaN NaN 0.000395 0.001385 0.002789 0.004487 0.006575
2026-04-12 NaN NaN 0.000366 0.001375 0.002826 0.004592 0.006768